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Can We Get Through the Demographic Crunch? The Implications of the 2025 OECD...
The 2025 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Employment Outlook examines the latest labor market developments and prospects in countries in the Organisation for Economic...
View ArticleAn Own-Goal H1-B Policy
The Trump administration’s proposed $100,000 surcharge on H-1B visa applications raises significant questions about the United States’ ability to maintain its competitive edge in science and...
View ArticleNew Approaches to Characterize Industries: AI as a Framework and a Use Case
About the Compendium New Approaches to Characterize Industries: AI as a Framework and a Use Case brings together leading economists, data scientists, and policy experts to tackle one of the biggest...
View ArticleAugment or Automate? Two Competing Visions for AI’s Economic Future
Sometimes coincidences are just coincidences, and sometimes they actually tell us something important. On Monday, both Anthropic, the developer of the Claude artificial intelligence tool, and OpenAI,...
View ArticleThe Coming Acceleration
Recursive AI will test the human ability to adapt. In the world of generative artificial intelligence, things are moving fast, and they could start moving a lot faster. Assuming that current data and...
View ArticleLearning by Doing: AI, Knowledge Transfer, and the Future of Skills
In a recent blog, I discussed Stanford University economist Erik Brynjolfsson’s new study showing that young college graduates are struggling to gain a foothold in a job market shaped by artificial...
View ArticleC’mon Student Athletes: Flex Those (Noncognitive) Muscles
For many years, I was a skeptic of school-based athletic programs. As a student government, newspaper, and drama club nerd, this was more than likely an expression of jealousy over who gets plaudits,...
View ArticleDid the Canaries Just Die?
Over the past few months, news about the unemployment tribulations of recent college graduates has been one of the biggest talking points on the economy, amplified by how generative artificial...
View ArticleWhen Human Fatigue Becomes AI’s Weakest Link
“Extreme work” is back, and it isn’t pretty. Reports from the AI sector point to founders pressing for 70–80-hour weeks (or more), arguing that extreme effort is the price of being first to...
View ArticleGoldman: Stories of Workforce Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated
The “smart money” has weighed in on potential AI employment impacts. The best way to describe the new estimates from Goldman Sachs Research (GSR) is that they reflect the nature of how technological...
View ArticleIs AI Making Your Gastroenterologist Stupid? Probably Not.
Artificial intelligence is transforming everything, including the universally-dreaded colonoscopy—the frontline tool for preventing colorectal cancer. On the one hand, randomized controlled trials...
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Humans Are the Loop
Lightcast, a labor market analysis firm, recently released Beyond the Buzz: Developing the AI Skills Employers Actually Need, a revealing look at 1.3 billion job postings to see how employer skill...
View ArticleBeyond Anecdotes
In a reversal of economic history, Microsoft, Intel, and other tech giants are using artificial intelligence to reduce headcount even as their profits and market valuations rise. The Financial Times...
View ArticleReasonable Panic
Uber co-founder Travis Kalanick is quietly launching the next wave of food automation through his new venture, CloudKitchens. He recently revealed a 60-square-foot machine that assembles 300 custom...
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Irresistible Force, Meet the Immovable Object
Some important new numbers are out on the future of the US labor supply, highlighting how a confluence of factors—demographic aging, economic growth, and restrictive immigration policy—are conspiring...
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De-Skilling the Knowledge Economy
Key Points Despite the importance of mid-level workers to sectors like finance, business services, government, and health care, many of these workers are vulnerable to de-skilling, job loss, and...
View ArticleThe Future of Work Is a Liminal Space
It’s been another breathless week in the business of projecting how artificial intelligence will reshape the US (and global) labor markets. Following Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s warnings of an AI...
View ArticleFrom Engineers to Fast Food, How AI Is Rocking the Future of Jobs
The future is here, and it requires robust AI literacy and support for workers and families. Artificial intelligence development and deployment is accelerating, and so are the ironies. A recent report...
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Degrees of Risk: STEM Is Bearing Less Fruit
When I began my work at AEI seven years ago, my first report was entitled, STEM Without Fruit: How Noncognitive Skills Improve Workforce Outcomes. The underlying thesis of that report was that we had...
View ArticleAI Has Invaded the Classroom—Here’s How We Catch Up
Artificial intelligence has quietly entered the nation’s classrooms. Teachers and administrators are scrambling to catch up. On April 23, the White House announced the Advancing Artificial...
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